As the high level of robberies persisted in October, it remains to be seen whether the trend will continue on such a steep, upward trajectory. Still, it's abundantly clear that robbery incidents continue to be on the rise.
The same trend is also noticable when observing the number of robberies by quarter, as the graph below shows.
Huge Spike in robberies in October; Months and quarters of 2016 continue to surpass 2015
Q3 Robberies and Burglaries by State
In every month of 2016, the number of reported robberies has surpassed or - in a few cases - is virtually the same as the corresponding month of the previous year. The difference is especially stark over the course of the past several months, starting with a 60 percent spike in the number of August robberies and continuing last month as October robberies jumped by nearly 50 percent.
The graph below shows how each month of this year stacks up against the same month in 2015. It's clear in which direction the numbers are moving.
Robberies by Month: 2015 vs. 2016
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While each quarter in 2016 has shown an increase in the number of robberies over the previous year, the percentage of those increases has steadily grown larger. In the first quarter of 2016, for example, robberies were up 4.5 percent over that quarter in the previous year. In the third quarter of 2016, robberies were up 26 percent from the third quarter of 2015.
As the fourth quarter continues, the question going forward is likely not whether the number of robberies will remain higher in the closing months of 2016, but rather how much higher will they be.
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